U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

October 2, 2017

U.S. Economic Indicators

The ISM Manufacturing Index rose 2.0 percentage points to 60.8 in September.  The new orders index increased 4.3 percentage points to 64.6 and the employment index edged up 0.4 percentage point to 60.3.  ISM Report
 
Construction spending increased 0.5% in August to an annualized rate of $1.22 trillion. 
Public construction rose 0.7% and private construction ticked up 0.4%.  Census Report

U.S. News

Jason Furman, the former chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, argues in a Wall Street Journal op-ed that any tax cuts need to be revenue-neutral. Furman contends that tax cuts will not generate enough economic growth to offset lost tax revenue, which in turn will balloon the federal debt held by the public. WSJ

Daniel Kruger of the Wall Street Journal writes that long-term bond yields posted their first quarterly gain of the year, indicating that investors may expect a return of inflation later this year. Although inflation expectations moderated earlier in the year as weak consumer prices and a stalled legislative agenda tempered investors’ optimism, the potential for tax cuts by the end of 2017 have given new life to inflation expectations. WSJ

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

September 29, 2017

U.S. Economic Indicators

Real disposable personal income and real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) both edged down 0.1% in August. The PCE price index rose 0.2% (1.4% Y/Y) and the core price index inched up 0.1% (1.3% Y/Y). BEA Report

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell 1.7 points to 95.1 in the final September reading but is up 3.9 points on the year.  The Index of Consumer Expectations declined 3.3 points to 84.4, while the Current Economic Conditions Index rose 0.8 point to 111.7.  Report

U.S. News

According to the Wall Street Journal, the GOP effort to pass tax reform has hit its first hurdle, as House Republicans from high-tax states have opposed eliminating the state and local tax deductions. Experts expect that the tax reform effort will continue to face roadblocks, as different special interest groups will try to preserve favorable loopholes and deductions. WSJ

The Washington Post reports that Senate Democrats are launching a bipartisan effort to invest $500 billion in infrastructure. Democrats on the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee recently sent a letter to Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao asking to meet about the infrastructure effort, which should receive broad, bipartisan support. WaPo

Jeffrey Sparshott of the Wall Street Journal writes that the National Association of Manufacturers’ (“NAM”) member survey shows that U.S. manufacturers are reporting record-high levels of optimism regarding the direction of the U.S. economy. NAM says that healthy U.S. growth, strengthening foreign demand, and the prospect of tax reform have all boosted its members’ outlook. WSJ

Keybridge Releases Interactive Progress Report for the McDonald’s-Healthier Generation Partnership on a 2020 Commitment

Keybridge Releases Interactive Progress Report for the McDonald’s-Healthier Generation Partnership on a 2020 Commitment

September 28, 2017

Working with the Alliance for a Healthier Generation, McDonald’s pledged to fulfill five commitments aimed at increasing customers’ access to fruits, vegetables, water, 100% juice, and low-fat dairy products and helping families make more informed food choices. McDonald’s pledged to implement these actions in 20 major markets by 2020. This interactive report features results from 13 international markets where Keybridge verified McDonald’s progress toward the 2016 interim implementation goals.

Link: Executive Summary

Link: Complete Interactive Report on 2016 Progress

Link: Detailed Methodology

 

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic Indicators

The U.S. Census Bureau Advance Economic Indicators Report shows that the goods deficit decreased 1.4% in August.  Meanwhile, wholesale inventories rose 1.0% while retail inventories increased 0.7%.  Census Bureau Report
 
The third estimate of Q2 GDP indicates that the U.S. economy expanded at an annualized rate of 3.1%, above the previous estimate of 3.0%.
The reading mainly reflects an upward revision of private inventory investment. BEA
 
Initial jobless claims increased 12,000 to 272,000 last week.  
The four-week moving average rose 9,000 to 277,750. DOL Report

U.S. News

The Wall Street Journal reports that the new GOP tax plan aims to lower taxes on many individuals and simplify the corporate tax code. The plan will collapse the seven existing person income tax brackets to three new brackets and will lower the corporate tax rate to 20%. WSJ

According to the Wall Street Journal, the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances shows that minority households and families with less education enjoyed larger proportional gains in income than others between 2013 and 2016. The Fed says that these results show that the continued economic recovery has reached a wide swath of society despite measures of income inequality worsening over this time period. WSJ

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

September 27, 2017

U.S. Economic Indicators

New orders of manufactured durable goods rose 1.7% in August after decreasing 6.8% in July, and are up 5.0% year-over-year.  Excluding transportation, new orders rose 0.2% (up 5.3% Y/Y).  Census Bureau Report

The National Association of Realtors pending home sales index fell 2.6% to 106.3 in August (also down 2.6% Y/Y).  NAR says this summer’s “terribly low” supply levels have drained all of the momentum from the housing market.  NAR Report

U.S. News

The Washington Post reports that the United States climbed to the world’s second-most competitive economy according to the World Economic Forum’s (“WEF”) Global Competitiveness Report. WEF economists say that the U.S. improved due to innovation and sophistication factors, while the biggest barrier to conducting business in the U.S. was found to be the tax code. WaPo

According to the Financial Times, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen says that policymakers should be wary of moving too gradually on monetary policy. Yellen acknowledged that low inflation may persist for longer than previously thought, but also cautioned that without further increases in the federal funds rate, a sudden surge in inflation could overheat the economy. FT

Aaron Gregg of the Washington Post writes that the U.S. government has moved to impose tariffs of up to 219% on Canadian-made jetliners. The Commerce Department ruled in favor of U.S. jetliner producers, who had argued that their Canadian counterparts have been receiving unfair taxpayer subsidies which allow the Canadian planes to be sold in the U.S. at a discount. WaPo