U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

November 30, 2017

U.S. Economic Indicators

Real disposable personal income rose 0.3% in October while real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inched up 0.1%. The PCE price index edged up 0.1% (up 1.6% Y/Y) and the core price index rose 0.2% (up 1.4% Y/Y). BEA Report

Initial jobless claims decreased 2,000 to 238,000 last week.  The four-week moving average rose 2,250 to 242,250. DOL Report

U.S. News

The Wall Street Journal reports that President Trump has nominated Marvin Goodfriend for a spot on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Goodfriend is a former Federal Reserve economist who has previously advocated for Congressional oversight of the Federal Reserve and also recommends that the Fed compare policy decisions against the so-called “Taylor Rule.” WSJ

According to the Wall Street Journal, Senate Republicans are considering a corporate tax rate above 20%. Some Republicans have said that cutting the corporate rate to 21% or 22% would make the tax bill more palatable for members of Congress worried about the bill’s effects on the deficit, though other Senate Republicans and the White House have indicated that the 20% rate is nonnegotiable. WSJ

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

November 29, 2017

U.S. Economic Indicators

The National Association of Realtors pending home sales index rose 3.5% in October (down 0.6% Y/Y).  NAR says that the jump in pending home sales — after three straight monthly declines — was mostly due to improvements in the south, which has begun recovering after recent hurricanes.  NAR Report

The second estimate of Q3 GDP indicates that the U.S. economy expanded at an annualized rate of 3.3%, above the first estimate of 3.0%. The reading reflects healthy consumer spending, business investment, and net exports as well as strong contributions from private inventories. BEA

U.S. News

The Financial Times reports that the Trump administration has launched an anti-dumping investigation against China, the first such investigation initiated in over 25 years. The investigation will center on aluminum imports from China, and has been self-initiated by the Commerce Department instead of being requested by U.S. industry members. FT

According to the Wall Street Journal, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen says that the Fed will continue its path of gradual rate increases. Fed officials have offered little push-back on market expectations of another rate hike in December, and Yellen also said that recent, sluggish inflation is likely transitory. WSJ

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

November 28, 2017

U.S. Economic Indicators

The U.S. Census Bureau Advance Economic Indicators Report shows that the goods deficit widened to $68.3 billion in October from $64.1 billion in September.  Meanwhile, wholesale inventories fell 0.4% and retail inventories edged down 0.1%.  Census Bureau Report

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index rose from 126.2 to 129.5 in November.  The improvement was driven by increases in the Present Situation Index to 153.9 and the Expectations Index to 113.3.  Conference Board Report
 
The FHFA House Price Index shows that U.S. house prices rose 1.4% in the third quarter and were up 6.5% from the same period last year. 
House prices rose on an annual basis in all nine census divisions. Report

U.S. News

The Wall Street Journal reports that the OECD says that the global economy is on track for its best year of growth since 2010. While the OECD also said that growth should accelerate further in 2018, the research group believes that measures to encourage business investment are necessary in order to ensure that growth doesn’t slow in the medium term. WSJ

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

November 27, 2017

U.S. Economic Indicators

New home sales jumped 6.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 685,000 in October, and are 18.7% above the October 2016 rate.  The median sales price rose to $312,800 and the inventory of new homes fell to 4.9 months at the current sales rate. Census Bureau Report

U.S. News

Christina Rexrode of The Wall Street Journal writes that despite recent, robust economic activity, lending to U.S. businesses has been decelerating steadily. Continued weakness in business lending has surprised many market-watchers, who say that a brightening economy, tight labor market, and accelerating business investment should all drive businesses to borrow more. WSJ

The Wall Street Journal reports that the current Republican tax plan may make it more difficult for cities and states to refinance outstanding debt. The current tax plan is likely to eliminate exemptions for so-called advanced refunding bonds, which allow governments to refinance existing debt earlier to take advantage of low interest rates. WSJ

According to The Wall Street Journal, Federal Reserve governor Jerome Powell is expected to face little opposition during his confirmation hearing this week. While Fed officials in the past have been questioned extensively about efforts to stimulate the American economy and prop up the financial system after the recent crisis, Powell has enjoyed bipartisan support that is likely to ensure a smooth confirmation process. WSJ

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

November 22, 2017

U.S. Economic Indicators

New orders of manufactured durable goods fell 1.2% in October after increasing 2.2% (revised) in September, but are up 4.9% year-over-year.  Excluding transportation, new orders rose 0.4% (up 5.8% Y/Y).  Census Bureau Report
 
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell 2.2 points to 98.5 in the final November reading, but is up 4.7 points on the year.  
The Index of Consumer Expectations edged down to 88.9, and the Current Economic Conditions Index moderated to 113.5.  Report
 
Initial jobless claims decreased 13,000 to 239,000 last week.  
The four-week moving average rose 1,250 to 239,750. DOL Report

U.S. News

The Wall Street Journal reports that Fed chair Janet Yellen is not certain whether current, low inflation is transitory. Yellen says that she is keeping an open mind about inflation and also believes that the economy is reasonably close to the central bank’s dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability. WSJ