U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

September 14, 2018

U.S. Economic Indicators

Retail sales edged up 0.1% in August and were up 6.6% on the year. Core sales — which excludes autos, gasoline, building materials, and food services — also inched up 0.1%. Census Bureau Report
 
Business inventories rose 0.6% in July and were up 4.3% from last year. 
Manufacturers’ sales were unchanged but were up 9.7% on the year. Census Bureau Report
 
Industrial production rose 0.4% in August (up 4.9% Y/Y), after increasing 0.4% (revised) in July. 
Capacity utilization rose 0.2 point to 78.1 in August. Fed Report

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose 4.6 points to 100.8 in the preliminary September reading, and is up 5.7 points on the year. The Index of Consumer Expectations increased 4.0 points to 91.1, while the Current Economic Conditions Index jumped 5.8 points to 116.1. Report

U.S. News

The Financial Times reports that President Trump has lowered expectations of a potential new round of trade negotiations with China. Although Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has reached out to his Chinese counterparts to open trade dialogue again, President Trump says that the U.S. feels no pressure to make a deal because U.S. markets are surging and China’s markets are collapsing. FT

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

September 13, 2018

U.S. Economic Indicators

Consumer prices rose 0.2% in August (up 2.7% on the year). The “core” CPI, which excludes food and energy, edged up 0.1% in August and is up 2.2% on the year. BLS Report
 
Initial jobless claims fell 1,000 to 204,000 last week.
The four-week moving average decreased 2,000 to 208,000. DOL Report

U.S. News

The Financial Times reports that new survey data show that three in five U.S. companies operating in China have already been hurt by the trade conflict between the two nations. One in three companies also report that they are considering relocating China-based manufacturing due to the tariffs. FT

According to the Wall Street Journal, the Trump administration is asking China to hold a new round of trade negotiations. However, trade experts caution that a new round of talks is unlikely to halt planned tariffs on a further $200 billion of Chinese imports. WSJ

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

September 12, 2018

U.S. Economic Indicators

The headline Producer Price Index (“PPI”) for final demand edged down 0.1% in August but is up 2.8% since August of last year.  The core — which removes the volatile prices of food, energy, and trade services — edged up 0.1% and is up 2.9% on the year.  BLS Report

U.S. News

The Wall Street Journal reports that Chinese leaders have told American business executives that Beijing will not target American firms’ operations in China as retaliation against U.S. tariffs. The shift in tone from just a few months ago, when Chinese officials warned of “corporate casualties” in the escalating trade war, comes as China’s economy appears to have weakened somewhat. WSJ

Richard Waters of the Financial Times writes that tech startups are bearing the brunt of U.S. tariffs on key Chinese technological items. Small companies have been forced to raise prices for their goods as tariffs have piled up and many companies face inflexible supply chains due to smaller pools of available cash and long-term existing commitments. FT

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

September 11, 2018

U.S. Economic Indicators

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.9 point to 108.8 in August, a new all-time high, as six of the components rose and four fell. The share of small business owners who are planning to hire more workers reached a record high.  NFIB Report

The U.S. Census Bureau reports that wholesale merchant inventories rose 0.6% in July to $636.3 billion. Inventories were up 5.0% year-over-year. Census Report

U.S. News

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (“JOLTS”), a closely-watched measure of labor market health, indicated there were 6.9 million job openings at the end of July, little changed from June. Hires were flat at 5.7 million while the quits rate inched up to 2.4%.  BLS Report

Bob Tita of the Wall Street Journal reports that workers at two of the largest U.S. steel-producing firms are demanding higher wages as tariffs on imported steel drive profits higher. Union leaders say that steelmakers can afford to offer larger pay raises than they would have otherwise offered, especially because the two firms account for 40% of flat-rolled steel production capacity in the U.S. and can set prices accordingly. WSJ

U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economic News

September 10, 2018

U.S. News

Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal writes that Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren says that the Fed should continue gradually hiking interest rates. Rosengren says that three or four more rate hikes will move the fed funds rate closer to its neutral rate, at which point the Fed may have to continue raising rates in order to contain inflationary pressures and prevent overheating. WSJ

The Washington Post reports that blue-collar jobs are growing at their fastest rate in over thirty years. Data show that jobs in goods-producing industries like mining, construction, and manufacturing are growing at a 3.3% annual rate, much faster than the growth rate for jobs in the service sector. WaPo