
U.S. Economic News
November 14, 2014
U.S. Economic Indicators
Retail sales increased 0.3% in October, rebounding from the 0.3% drop observed in September. So-called core sales, which exclude autos, gasoline, building materials, and food services, jumped 0.6%, while auto sales were up 0.5%. Census Bureau report, WSJ
The Reuters/University of Michigan’s preliminary reading of its November consumer sentiment index rose by a greater-than-expected 2.5 percent to 89.4, a seven-year high. The increase was driven by robust gains in the current economic conditions and consumer expectations components of the index — which exceeded not only the median forecast of 61 economists polled by Reuters but also the highest estimate of 89.0. Reuters
U.S. News
GDP in the Eurozone increased by 0.2% in Q3 (up 0.8% Y/Y), suggesting that while the currency union has managed to stave off economic contraction, serious hurdles to growth remain. Both Germany and France recorded positive growth, while Italy’s economy contracted; meanwhile, October CPI for the Eurozone zone ticked up 0.1% on the month. FT
The latest WSJ survey of economic forecasters finds that economists are lowering their estimates for U.S. inflation rates, as the consensus forecast for inflation for 2014 dropped to 1.6%, down from 2.1% recorded in September. The forecasters also expect that the Fed will begin to raise interest rates in mid-2015 and — by a three-to-one ratio — believe that waiting too long to raise rates poses a greater threat than raising them too early. WSJ
According to the latest “JOLTS” report, the number of hires and the number of people voluntarily quitting their jobs both climbed to six-year highs in September. 58% of people leaving their jobs did so voluntarily, up from 37% during the depths of the recession — a strong indication that workers are growing increasingly confident in the economy. WSJ